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WORKING PAPER NUM 9604 Print


Working Paper
9604
A CONSISTENT ANALYSIS OF DIVERSIFICATION DECISIONS
WITH NON OBSERVABLE FIRM-EFFECTS
Fernando Merino
Diego R. Rodríguez

Abstract

The empirical analyses of firm diversificationdecisions, both for new activities (new products) and markets (forexample, new routes for airlines), have usually estimated a binary dependent variable model for each of the decisions the firm takes. To get consistent estimators, every relevant effect must be considered in the specification. As this will hardly happen, the presence of non-observed firm effects (either because such data do not exist or because it is impossible to get them) must be econometrically treated, because it causes inconsistency in the estimations. In this paper we propose to use the estimators provided by the maximization of the conditional likelihood function in problems of this kind because they give consistent results even when unobserved firm effects are present. Finally, we apply this technique to an example of diversification amongst Spanish manufacturers.




 

 


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